Posts Tagged ‘new hampshire’

New Hampshire primaries, Obama and McCain

Tuesday, January 8th, 2008

Now to the New Hampshire primaries. As for Iowa, we offer a brief analysis of each candidate’s voice share in the US political webosphere with respect to their standing in New Hampshire.

We have finetuned our metrics in order to exclude from Hillary Clinton’s voice share that of her husband, former President Bill Clinton, whose voice share remains substantial in the debate. Our previous analysis of the Iowa caucuses showed the voice shares of the Republican candidates pretty much matched the actual results. The discrepancy between the leading voice share (H. Clinton) and the ballot winner (B. Obama) for the Democrats can be explained by the aforementioned methodological glitch.

Now, the online buzz matches the polls. On the liberal side, Obama is way ahead of Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. On the conservative side, the online trends are not as conspicuous as the polls. John McCain is leading by a narrow margin, with Romney and Huckabee closely following.

The political webosphere gives the following orders on each side:

Republicans:

  1. McCain
  2. Romney
  3. Huckabee

Democrats:

  1. Obama
  2. Clinton
  3. Edwards

For the french version of this post, see here.